Friday, January 12, 2007

Did you hear Rex didn't play well?

Sunday afternoon is the matchup that most of us in Illinois have been waiting two weeks for. And no, I'm not talking about the D-III matchup of Chicago at perennial D-III powerhouse Case Western Reserve, although I don't think I'm alone in saying that I will most definitely be Tivoing that game*. I'm actually talking about the Chicago Bears vs. the Seattle Seahawks.

Finally, after weeks of speculation about which Rex Grossman will show up, we will get to drop it and watch what happens. I for one couldn't be happier. Also, sidenote, I guess I'm glad Mariotti is ok or whatever, but it's been nice to not have him giving his bullshit opinions on this game. So now for my bullshit opinion!

We all know what happened the last time these two teams met in Soldier Field. The Bears stomped the shit out of the Seahawks. It was a severe and efficient beating. Of course, the Seahawks were missing Shaun Alexander, and we all know about the weakness the Bears have shown recently against the run. But, then again, the Bears had strong showings against the run in the final 4 games, after their worst performance against the run against the Vikings. Which they still won.

And, also, let's not forget the Seahawks also lost to the 49ers and the Cardinals, two teams the Bears 'beat' (I use the term 'beat' loosely when referring to the Cardinals, but we beat the pants off of the 49ers).

So does Shaun Alexander make that much of a difference? Perhaps. But the Seahawks were forced to abandon the run early against the Bears in the last matchup. If they don't have to abandon the run, then it might make a difference. The Seahwaks only had 77 yards rushing against the Bears last game, and 19 of those came on one Matt Hasselbeck run. The Bears also had a stronger interior line than they have now. The rushing will be something to monitor.

Also in the last game, Matt Hasselbeck pretty much blew. He didn't blow by Rex Grossman standards or anything, but it wasn't pretty. 2 picks, no touchdowns, and under 200 yards, plus he got owned by Ricky Manning Jr. Hopefully the Bears will have a healthy secondary for the first time in a while (minus Mike Brown obviously), so Hasselbeck could still have a tough time out there.

As for the Bears, I think Cedric Benson should get the start. Thomas Jones does not appear to be running any stronger, and if anything, I think he may be fading. And Cedric Benson is continuing his improvement. I've never been an advocate of T.J., but I see Benson as the better alternative, especially earlier in the game, as he has more power to run into the defensive line as opposed to jump, twirl, and fall backward for 2 yards. Seriously, Benson is a more punishing runner and I see this helping wear down the defense earlier than if Thomas Jones were in and sucking. Seriously, I think Jones should be number 3 RB. I hate him. But I digress.

Now, when it comes to Grossman, there's been speculation out the ass and I am so sick of it. It's basically been the same story for about the past 4 or 5 weeks. Which Rex shows up? He's already shown that he can win a game. As to whether or not I believe him about why he sucked so badly for the Packers game, I'm not really sure. But it's a moot point. It wasn't very professional, but big deal. If there was one thing the Packers game showed us, it's that the argument for Griese over Grossman is moot because Griese was almost just as bad. Granted, he did throw the ball further than I thought he was capable of on the TD pass to Bradley, but that doesn't make up for his 2 picks.

Grossman can win a game, he's already beaten the Seahawks, and the Seahawks have a patchwork secondary. I also think they may be missing other important players on their defense, I'm not positive. Regardless, the defense was healthy when Rex beat them last time. So I give the advantage to the Bears here. Also, I will point out again: the Seahawks lost to the Cardinals and 49ers (twice).

It's no surprise I pick the Bears here. The combination of the Seahawks pretty much backing into the playoffs, even though they won last week, in addition to the previous matchup going in the Bears favor makes me think this is a pretty easy pick. Also, on the injury front, the Bears have the upper hand as only two players are missing, as opposed to almost the entire secondary for the Seahawks. Plus, while I think Shaun Alexander makes a slight difference, I don't see him being a game changer.

And if Grossman has anything close to the game he had against the Seahawks the first game, the Bears win by at least 2 touchdowns.

*Just kidding, no one has any rooting interest in that D-III game and I would actually be offended if it were possible to Tivo it.

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